Mathematics of votes: In the political battle of the assembly elections, if a party has tasted victory, another has faced defeat. Win-win-loss can happen to anyone, but the math of votes has always been interesting.
The Sheila Dikshit government, which was in power for 15 years, or the Kejriwal government that won the tsunami vote in 2015, made no difference to the vote percentage of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). In six assembly elections from 1998 to 2020, the BJP’s vote percentage was between 32 and 38, while the Congress’s graph fell and the AAP went up. The most important thing was that governments were formed four times in the capital, with a difference of only four to 13 percent in the vote percentage.
In this election frenzy, political parties are engaged in assessing the entire election among equal percentages. If the BJP wants to move forward with its traditional vote, then you
It is preparing to maintain its graph. The Congress, which received the lowest percentage of votes among them, wants to return to the mainstream.
Even though the BJP has won the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) and Lok Sabha elections several times, the party has received more than 40 per cent votes only once in the assembly elections so far. In 1993, the BJP got 42.82 per cent votes in the Madanlal Khurana government. After this, the BJP’s vote bank was not even around.
Congress-BJP in your tsunami
In the assembly elections from 1993 to 2008, there was a direct contest between the BJP and the Congress, but the entry of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in 2013 has shocked both the parties. The Congress got 15.7 per cent votes and the BJP 3.4 per cent, while the Aam Aadmi Party, which is contesting elections for the first time, got 29.5 per cent votes. In the 2015 elections, the AAP benefitted by 24.86 percent of the votes and its vote percentage reached 54.30 percent.
BJP’s vote bank stable
Except for the 1993 elections, the BJP’s vote bank was almost stable in the by-elections from 1998 to 2015. In 22 years, the Delhi BJP’s vote bank was between 32 and 38 per cent. In 1998, the party got 34.02 per cent votes. He got 35.22 per cent votes in 2003, 36.34 in 2008, 33 per cent in 2013, 32.3 per cent in 2015 and 38.51 per cent in the 2020 election.